Over-Confident Republicans Poised For Disappointment – Ep. 238

  • On Monday the market got its first opportunity to react to President Trump and the Republican Congress’ failure to repeal and replace Obamacare
  • With something more palatable
  • And as a result, the market declined
  • At the lows, the Dow was down approximately 200 points
  • Although the “Buy the Dippers” came out, and by the end of the day, the Dow was UP about 150 points
  • But it was the 8th consecutive down day for the Dow
  • Which I think was a tie for the longest losing streak since 2011
  • Had the Dow been down again today, it would have been the longest losing streak since sometime in the 1970’s
  • So it wasn’t that surprising that the Dow rallied
  • We were up about 150 points, so we more than wiped out yesterday’s losses
  • On the other hand, the dollar sold off yesterday and actually traded with a 98 handle
  • For the first time since just after the election
  • Almost all of the Trump-related dollar rally has been eviscerated
  • The dollar rallied back today closing at 99.71 today
  • The pound was weak; the Scottish are getting ready to have another referendum
  • Whether or not they want to leave the U.K.
  • Remember, the Scots did not want to leave the EU
  • They narrowly rejected an independence referendum before and now that there is going to be another vote, the market is nervous
  • Maybe that helped push the dollar down, but we’re below 100 on the dollar index right now
  • Gold got back up to $1260 yesterday; at one point it was up about $17
  • I didn’t see it hit $1261
  • That was about the high for the year
  • Gold still closed today above $1250
  • Silver was actually up again
  • Adding to yesterday’s gain, we’re now holding above $18
  • So gold and silver going up; the dollar going down
  • We did get a rally in the bond market yesterday; gave back some of that today
  • I think today’s rally was more of a technical bounce on the “Buy the dip” mentality